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South Africa Oil and Gas Industry Analysis and Forecast Report (Q1 2016) Supply, Demand, Investments, Competition and Projects (EP, Refinery, LNG, Storage and Pipelines) to 2025

  • ID:RM00341
  • Published: April-2016
  • Pages:119
  • OGAnalysis
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This country Oil and gas industry report provides comprehensive Insight on upstream, midstream and downstream opportunities, risks, infrastructure, trade and competition. Through integrated research, use of proprietary data and forecast modelling and inputs from industry experts, the report provides complete research on the oil and gas value chain. The premier report provides analysis of key opportunities and associated challenges facing the oil and gas industry. Amidst several challenges confronting the oil and gas industry including fall in prices, changing market conditions, oil and gas sector risk and shift in competitive landscape, the report provides detailed insights into critical short and long term factors set to shape the outlook. The research work examines the existing infras........
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1 Table of Contents 2 1.1 List of Tables 6 1.1 List of Figures 8 2 South Africa Oil and Gas Overview 9 1.2 South Africa Hydrocarbons Sector Snapshot 9 1.3 South Africa Energy Balance, 2015 9 1.4 South Africa Oil and Gas Infrastructure across Value Chain, 2015 11 1.5 South Africa Primary Energy Demand Outlook, 2000- 2025 13 1.6 South Africa Primary Energy Mix by Fuel (%), 2016 13 1.7 Key Regulatory, NOC and Licensing Authorities 14 3 South Africa Oil and Gas Planning and Strategic Analysis 15 3.1 Trends and Drivers of South Africa Oil and Gas Markets 15 3.2 South Africa Oil and Gas SWOT Analysis 17 3.2.1 Key Strengths 17 3.2.2 Key Weaknesses 18 3.2.3 Key Opportunities 19 3.2.4 Key Threats 20 3.3 South Africa Oil and Gas Environment Benchmarking with Peer Markets 21 3.3.1 Overall Ranking of Markets 21 3.3.2 Demographic and Economic Index 21 3.3.3 Oil and Gas Supply Index 22 3.3.4 Oil and Gas Demand Index 22 3.3.5 Oil and Gas Infrastructure Index 22 4 South Africa Oil and Gas Market Supply Outlook to 2025 23 4.1 South Africa Gross Crude Oil Production Forecast (yearly), 2005- 2025 23 4.2 South Africa Marketed Natural Gas Supply Forecast (yearly), 2005- 2025 25 1.8 Motor Gasoline Production Forecast in South Africa (Annual), 2005- 2025 27 1.9 Diesel/ Gas Oil Production Forecast in South Africa (Annual), 2005- 2025 29 1.10 LPG Production Forecast in South Africa (Annual), 2005- 2025 31 1.11 Fuel Oil Production Forecast in South Africa (Annual), 2005- 2025 33 5 South Africa Oil and Gas Market Demand Outlook to 2025 35 5.1 South Africa Crude Oil Demand Forecast (yearly), 2005- 2025 35 5.2 South Africa Natural Gas Demand Forecast (yearly), 2005- 2025 37 1.12 Motor Gasoline Demand Forecast in South Africa (Annual), 2005- 2025 39 1.13 Diesel/ Gas Oil Demand Forecast in South Africa (Annual), 2005- 2025 41 1.14 LPG Demand Forecast in South Africa (Annual), 2005- 2025 43 1.15 Fuel Oil Demand Forecast in South Africa (Annual), 2005- 2025 45 6 Potential investment opportunities in South Africa oil and gas sector, 2016-2020 47 6.1 South Africa Upstream Opportunities 47 6.2 South Africa LNG Industry 47 6.3 South Africa Pipeline Industry 48 6.4 South Africa Storage Industry 48 6.5 Investment Opportunities in South Africa Refining Industry 50 7 South Africa Economic and Political Analysis 51 7.1 South Africa Geographic Location 51 7.2 Key Economic Indicators 52 7.3 South Africa GDP Outlook to 2025 52 7.4 South Africa Population Outlook to 2025 53 8 South Africa Oil and Gas Industry Competitive Landscape, 2015 54 8.1 South Africa Refinery sector – market shares by company, 2016 54 8.2 South Africa oil, petroleum products and chemicals storage sector – market shares by company, 2016 55 8.3 South Africa Pipeline sector – market shares by company, 2016 56 9 South Africa Oil and Gas Upstream Market Analysis 57 9.1 South Africa Exploration and Production Sector- Proven Oil Reserves 57 9.2 South Africa Field wise Crude Oil Production 57 9.3 South Africa Company wise Crude Oil Production, 2015 57 9.4 South Africa Exploration and Production Sector- Proven Gas Reserves 58 9.5 South Africa Exploration Block Details- Key Awarded Blocks 58 9.6 South Africa Drilling Rigs Information 59 9.7 South Africa Upstream Industry- Market Monitor 60 9.7.1 South Africa is The Next Hot Spot For Offshore Oil Exploration- March 2017 60 9.7.2 South Africa 's economic future lies in oil and gas- March 2017 61 10 South Africa Refinery Market Analysis 62 10.1 South Africa refinery market snapshot, 2015 62 10.2 South Africa operational refinery details- startup, capacities, location, operators and owners 63 10.3 South Africa planned refinery details- Status, Capex, startup, capacities and companies 63 10.4 South Africa Primary refining capacity outlook, 2005-2022 64 10.5 South Africa secondary refining capacity outlook, 2005-2022 64 10.6 Crude Distillation Capacity Forecast by Refinery, 2005- 2022 65 10.7 Refinery wise Hydrotreating capacity outlook, 2005-2022 65 10.8 Refinery wise fluid catalytic cracking(FCC)capacity outlook, 2005-2022 66 10.9 Refinery wise Hydro Cracking(HCC) capacity outlook, 2005-2022 66 10.10 Refinery wise Reformer Capacity outlook, 2005-2022 67 10.11 South Africa Petroleum Products production, 2016 67 10.12 South Africa petroleum products consumption, 2016 68 10.13 South Africa Refining capacity outlook by company, 2005-2022 68 10.14 South Africa Refining Industry- Market Monitor 69 10.14.1 South Africa open to Iranian investment if new refinery goes ahead- May 2017 69 10.14.2 South Africa wants Sinopec to retain refinery capacity- Mar 2017 70 10.14.3 China 's Sinopec buys 75% of Chevron’s South African assets- March 2017 71 11 South Africa Oil and Gas Storage Market Analysis 74 11.1 South Africa Storage Capacity Outlook to 2022 74 11.2 South Africa operational Storage Terminal Details- startup, capacity, tanks, operator and owners 75 11.3 South Africa planned Storage Terminal Details- startup, capacity, tanks, operator and owners 76 11.4 South Africa Oil Storage Capacity by Terminal to 2022 77 11.5 Oil Storage Capacity by Company, 2015 78 11.6 South Africa storage Industry- Market Monitor 78 11.6.1 Vopak Plans Further Expansion Projects in South Africa- February 2017 78 11.6.2 Oiltanking MOGS Saldanha to begin construction of crude oil, blending terminal in South Africa- February 2017 79 12 South Africa LNG Market Analysis 81 13 South Africa Pipeline Market Analysis 82 13.1 Major Operational Crude Oil Pipelines in South Africa 82 13.2 Major Petroleum Product Pipelines in South Africa 82 13.3 Major Natural Gas Pipelines in South Africa 83 13.4 South Africa Planned Pipeline Details- 2016-2020 83 13.5 South Africa Domestic Pipeline Market Share by Length, 2016 84 13.6 South Africa pipeline Industry- Market Monitor 84 13.6.1 SACOIL gas pipeline to connect SA & Mozambique- July 2017 84 13.6.2 Rovuma–South Africa gas pipeline: Joint venture agreement signed in Maputo- April 2016 85 14 Company Profiles 86 14.1 PetroSA Oil and Gas Operations 86 14.1.1 Key Information 86 14.1.2 Group companies of PetroSA include- 87 14.1.3 Business Operations 88 14.1.4 SWOT Analysis 90 14.1.5 Contact Information 92 14.1.6 Group Financial Analysis 93 1.16 Chevron Corporation 94 1.16.1 Overview 94 1.16.2 Global Operations 96 1.16.3 Business Description 96 1.16.4 SWOT Analysis 98 1.16.5 Financial Analysis 100 1.16.6 Contact Information 101 1.17 Royal Vopak 102 1.17.1 Overview 102 1.17.2 Royal Vopak Business Operations 103 1.17.3 Royal Vopak SWOT Analysis 104 1.17.4 Contact Information 106 1.17.5 Key Financial Information 107 1.18 Royal Dutch Shell Plc 108 1.18.1 Key Information 108 1.18.2 Business Operations 110 1.18.3 SWOT Analysis 114 1.18.4 Contact Information 116 1.18.5 Key Consolidated Financial Information 117 15 Appendix 118 1.19 Abbreviations 118 1.20 Sources and Methodology 118 1.21 Contact Information 119 1.22 Disclaimer 119


List Of Tables

List of Tables Table 1: South Africa Oil and Gas Industry Overview 9 Table 2: South Africa Primary Energy Demand Forecast, 2000- 2025 13 Table 3: Regional Oil and Gas Benchmarking- Overall Ranking 21 Table 4: Regional Oil and Gas Benchmarking - Demographic and Economic Index 21 Table 5: Regional Oil and Gas Benchmarking - Supply Index 22 Table 6: Regional Oil and Gas Benchmarking- Demand Index 22 Table 7: Regional Oil and Gas Benchmarking- Infrastructure Index 22 Table 8: South Africa Gross Crude Oil Production Outlook, 2005-2025 23 Table 9: South Africa Natural Gas Production Outlook, 2005-2025 25 Table 10: South Africa Motor Gasoline Production Forecast, Kb/d, 2005- 2025 27 Table 11: South Africa Diesel/Gas Oil Production Forecast, Kb/d, 2005- 2025 29 Table 12: South Africa LPG Production Forecast, Kb/d, 2005- 2025 31 Table 13: South Africa Fuel Oil Production Forecast, Kb/d, 2005- 2025 33 Table 14: South Africa Crude Oil Demand Outlook, 2005-2025 35 Table 15: South Africa Natural Gas Demand Outlook, 2005-2025 37 Table 16: South Africa Motor Gasoline Demand Forecast, Kb/d, 2005- 2025 39 Table 17: South Africa Diesel/ Gas Oil Demand Forecast, Kb/d, 2005- 2025 41 Table 18: South Africa LPG Demand Forecast, Kb/d, 2005- 2025 43 Table 19: South Africa Fuel Oil Demand Forecast, Kb/d, 2005- 2025 45 Table 20: South Africa Planned LNG Terminals, 2016-2020 47 Table 21: South Africa Planned Pipeline details, 2016-2020 48 Table 22: Planned Storage Terminals in South Africa– Capacity and Owners Details-1 49 Table 23: Planned Storage Terminals in South Africa– Capacity and Owners Details-2 49 Table 24: Planned Oil Refinery in South Africa– Capacity and Owners Details 50 Table 25: South Africa Proven Oil Reserves, Million barrels, 2000-2015 57 Table 26: South Africa Field wise Production, Million barrels 57 Table 27: South Africa Proven Gas Reserves, Tcf 58 Table 28: South Africa Exploration, Key Awarded Blocks 58 Table 29: South Africa Drilling Rigs Count, Kb/d, February 2013-May 2016 59 Table 30: South Africa Refinery Industry Statistics, 2015 62 Table 31: South Africa Operational Refinery Details, 2015 63 Table 32: South Africa Upcoming Refinery Details, 2016- 2020 63 Table 33: South Africa Historic and Projected Refining Capacity, Mb/d, 2005- 2022 64 Table 34: South Africa Secondary Unit Capacities Forecast, 2005- 2022 64 Table 35: Refinery wise CDU Capacity Outlook in South Africa, Kb/d, 2005-2022 65 Table 36: Refinery wise Coking Capacity Outlook in South Africa, Kb/d, 2005-2022 65 Table 37: Refinery wise FCC Capacity Outlook in South Africa, Kb/d, 2005-2022 66 Table 38: Refinery wise HCC Capacity Outlook in South Africa, Kb/d, 2005-2022 66 Table 39: Refinery wise Reformer Capacity Outlook in South Africa, Kb/d, 2005-2022 67 Table 40: South Africa Products Production Mix, 2016 67 Table 41: South Africa Products Consumption Mix, 2016 68 Table 42: South Africa Refining Capacity by Company, Kb/d, 2005- 2022 68 Table 43: South Africa Total Storage Capacity Forecast (Mmcm), 2005-2022 74 Table 44: Oil, Products and Chemicals Storage Terminals in South Africa- Start Up, Location, Operator, Ownership Details 75 Table 45: Planned Oil, Products and Chemicals Storage Terminals in South Africa- Start Up, Location, Operator, Ownership Details 76 Table 46: South Africa Terminal wise Storage Capacity Forecast (Thousand m3), 2005-2022 77 Table 47: South Africa Storage Capacity by Company (thousand m3), 2015 78 Table 48: South Africa Operational Crude Oil Pipeline Details 82 Table 49: South Africa Product Pipeline Details 82 Table 50: South Africa Natural Gas Pipeline Details 83 Table 51: South Africa Planned Pipeline details 83 Table 52: South Africa Pipeline Market Share, 2016 84 Table 53: PetroSA- Top Level Information 87 Table 54: PetroSA- Financial Highlights, R’000 , 2015-2016 93 Table 55: Chevron Corporation- Top Level Information 95 Table 56: Chevron Corporation- Geographical Presence 96 Table 57: Chevron Corporation- Financial Overview 2012- 2016 100 Table 58: Chevron Corporation- Financial Ratios, 2012-2016 101 Table 59: Royal Vopak - Top Level Information 103 Table 60: Royal Vopak – Oil Storage Activities by Region, 2016 103 Table 61: Royal Vopak- Financial Highlights, FY2014-FY2015 107 Table 62: Royal Dutch Shell Plc - Top Level Information 109 Table 63: Royal Dutch Shell Plc South Africa- Top Level Information 110 Table 64: Royal Dutch Shell Plc- Financial Snapshot, FY2014-FY2016 117


List of Figures

List of Figures Figure 1: South Africa Primary Energy Mix by Fuel, 2016 14 Figure 2: South Africa Crude Oil Production Outlook, 2005- 2025 24 Figure 3: South Africa Natural Gas Production Outlook, Mmcf, 2005-2025 26 Figure 4: South Africa- Gasoline Production Forecast, Kb/d, 2005-2025 28 Figure 5: South Africa- Diesel Production Forecast, Kb/d, 2005-2025 30 Figure 6: South Africa- LPG Production Forecast, Kb/d, 2005-2025 32 Figure 7: South Africa- Fuel Oil Production Forecast, Kb/d, 2005-2025 34 Figure 8: South Africa Crude Oil Demand Outlook, Kb/d, 2005-2025 36 Figure 9: South Africa Natural Gas Demand Outlook, Mmcf, 2005-2025 38 Figure 10: South Africa- Gasoline Demand Forecast, Kb/d, 2005-2025 40 Figure 11: South Africa- Diesel Demand Forecast, Kb/d, 2005-2025 42 Figure 12: South Africa- LPG Demand Forecast, Kb/d, 2005-2025 44 Figure 13: South Africa- Fuel Oil Demand Forecast, Kb/d, 2005-2025 46 Figure 14: Map of the South Africa- Location and Boundaries 51 Figure 15: South Africa GDP Forecast, 2000- 2025 52 Figure 16: South Africa Population Growth Forecast, 2000- 2025 53 Figure 17: Refining Industry- Market Share, 2016 54 Figure 18: Oil Storage Industry- Market Structure, 2016 55 Figure 19: Pipeline Industry- Company wise Length, Km, 2016 56 Figure 20: Royal Vopak, Oil Storage Capacity by Region, 2016 104 Figure 21: OGAnalysis- Research Methodology 119

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